QUOTE (Vespasian @ Mar 15 2008, 02:37 AM)

Careful, MD, Vicmac's points are valid, albeit a la Cgnao, but I only see dollar collapse and Gold appreciation at the moment and with Bear Stearns doing a NR, things are only getting worse. Just because he is uber-bear and you are uber-bull, the attitude is unwarranted
I am generally interested in any view to do with the American credit [Global] crunch and am aware also of the risks posed with these hedge funds with 98% leverage - 3% negative can cause a total wipe out. The collective spider’s web of the complex derivative market makes it difficult for all banks to realise their position. And the direct intervention on Bear Stearns will not be the last. I do not take the credit crunch flippantly and realise USA plc will either (i) repair itself in typical mode and pull out of recession Q3/08 like all previous economic cycles (ii) Go absolutely down the toilet.
If the second continues to be persistent, then the American government will throw everything to intervene in a bid to shore up liquidity and asset lending within this complex ABX market. Inflation is not a fear of the FED; it will fight this battle later to unravel the contagion. If it can spend $2.5trillion on a war, it will provide any guarantees on moderate to bad collateral [short term] to provide stability and integrity within the market. Btw Bear Stearns as an investment Wall Street Bank should have be allowed to go to the wall – it’s customers are mainly large institutions and hedge funds and by propping up such an institution may allow it to survive for takeover, but it could slacken the possibility of a floor being found, and other hedge funds could also through this malaise die slowly of 1000 cuts.
Again interesting programme on Newsnight, that completely follows my take of the situation. For persons just reading HPC.co.uk then infowars.com, this would do your head in. Although they have merit it's important to have balance and read mainstream media [FT] and magazines [Economist/Newsweek/Moneyweek], at most give teletext 200 on BBC2 a whirl.
But genuinely I'd like to know anyone’s views - just for a laugh, thought it was Bin Laden and Dr Evil - meant in a humorous way. Btw I am not a bull per se, an informed skeptic that sifts the markets and tries to make informed decisions - some good, and some bad. Bad - Japan equity. But no matter what, money is always chasing growth - look at the Egyptian S/exchange. Best performing in the last 3 years [hardly on the radar for most]...
Rate cut on Tuesday 100 bps, any views? This will put pressure onto BoE and ECB.
QUOTE (Vespasian @ Mar 15 2008, 02:37 AM)

Let's face it, you can't cope with abuse too well
No one can, if sustained and attacking. I don't think my expression to anyones of late has been this way but point taken.