QUOTE (MarkG @ Mar 10 2008, 05:00 AM)

This demonstrates another way in which high house prices have been encouraging emigration. Not just because people can't afford to buy a house in the UK, but because ordinary people who did buy houses in the 90s are able to take out $250,000+ in equity that can buy them a nice house in many other countries for free (or be a big deposit on a nicer house).
From the perspective of Western Australia that certainly was the case a few years ago where there was about a 2 year lag with UK prices surging and Perth prices still relatively cheap with low interest rates.
Every international flight was full of "Cashed up Poms" coming here, with plenty of equity and exchange rates at 2.5 or better buying houses for cash, brand new 4x4 and boat on the drive and going in to semi retirement.
My story? Sold house in UK for 450,000 in about Nov 2006 (bought in 1997 for 132,000, spent about 100,000 on fixing it up)- I was a "shrewd genius" (for shrewd genius read "lucky") but meant I had to buy here at the peak where I was probably the "last fool". Swings and roundabouts and all that...
It's not like that now, HPI was worse than in the UK and now mortgages of 10x salary are common place as is mortgage stress of well over 30% of income. We've got liar loans here too, by the bucketful. Every other person you meet is a property investor, encouraged by generous negative gearing (so as the Govt. don't have to build as many council houses).
The conversation's sound familiar to those in the UK, "thousands are moving here every month", "house prices double every 7 to 10 years" "prices never go down". I guess one difference is here in Aus we do have stuff that others want to buy like iron ore (lots of it), wheat, gold, nickel, the list goes on...
To me that might be the factor that differentiates Australia from the UK regarding whether there will be a crash in prices or a "softening". Personally I'd like to see a humongous crash, I've always fancied a little weekend retreat in the hills.
The state of play right now in Perth, a stand off between buyers and sellers, loads on the market and first time buyers priced out. Does this sound familiar?
http://britishexpats.com/forum/showthread.php?t=520403See ya,
Rolf...