QUOTE (Vespasian @ Feb 6 2008, 10:05 PM)

I've noticed a few houses recently, that I have been watching have been pulled. Obviously, folks not so keen to sell if mega-prices cannot be achieved. This should mean all those left are more desperate to sell

Yes I've noticed that trend too recently Vespasian. Property that I have been watching from afar has dropped off / pulled off propertynews.com recently. Two thoughts run through my mind immediately and the alarm bells are already ringing.
1. Firstly it gives the seller a chance to put the property back on the market "fresh" in the spring with an inflated (yet totally unrealistic and unsellable) price. This has the added advantage of skewing the TDGTTS weekly reports to make one think the slide is over and prices are on the up. A perceived lessening of supply actually physically visible to the average punter on the street could conceivably be manipulated using statistics to drive demand and spin PR.
Watch out though 'cause this is a Bear Trap of elephant style proportions!! (IMHO) . Remember it was only a year ago that we were all told that our high house prices here were as a result of low supply and high demand. Those many "mystery" properties sitting empty and pristine, hidden from our view and held back from the market for so long have now flooded the market for sale / rent so we all know the supply / demand argument doesn't hold water any longer - it never did. Investors simply engineered the boom to their advantage to manipulate the marketplace. The recent rise in properties for sale now shoots holes in the supply/demand argument once and for all and buyers are spoilt for choice. Simply put "They (the properties) haven't gone away you know" - who is buying them? Very few judging from my experience at Wilson's Auctions last night. But I do feel that they (the properties) will (and can - by those who can afford it) be taken away from the market to give the perception that there is a lack of supply and hence drive panic buying.
2. This scenario also leaves the marketplace relatively clutter free (and strips out the background noise) for VI EA's and developers / builders to clear their back inventory while they can - possibly maximising their most opportune time to sell and get out without burning their fingers too much.
I'd really love to know who is advising sellers at present to take their houses off the market - although I have a fairly good idea myself. It does however raise the ethical conflict of interest issue once again and I know that that is an issue for that particular thread within this NI forum.
It will be interesting to see how this all develops over the next 2 months.
Love your Mr Housing Bubble image btw!