QUOTE (Red Kharma @ Jan 9 2008, 10:01 PM)

I've lived in and around this area for the best part of 50 years.
I'm sorry but you're just plain wrong. The original poster asked specifically about Prestbury/Wilmslow and in particular the effect of a crash on the high-end new-build properties, which is why I included some that I am familiar with. Working in Knutsford for a while and then throwing around comments about "wages in Manchester" and "london" is pointless.
Hey, that's great - I've lived around the area on-and-off for just under 45 years. My first job was in Altrincham in 1979. Guess that doesn't make you such an expert after all...
And I'll quote your own words back to you: "I'm sorry but you're just plain wrong."
Your claim that "wages in Manchester" somehow don't relate to "house prices in Manchester" is just plain laughable. Look at the prices those same "protected" properties you keep blabbing about in South Manchester were just 10 years ago: about 50% or less of what they are today. The idea that a doubling or trebling of house prices in South Manchester over the last 10 years or so - and when local wages are totally out of whack - is somehow "sustainable" is just crazy (the sort of talk I'd expect from an E.A., in fact.)
My Bro-in-law has been property developing in the South Manchester/Cheshire area for the last 15 years - and he's moved out of the game in the last year or two as it's become a waste of effort. I'd believe his opinion much more than yours. And the static/falling prices I see on Rightmove, plus the fact that I'm seeing the same properties linger on the market for over a year, adds even more credence to his/my views. Just because you've "lived here for nearly 50 years" doesn't add any weight to your claims.
South Manchester has risen just as sharply - if not more so - than most other areas in the UK. The idea that the local economy is going to support such insane prices is just plain wrong. I've remember spending the last few Xmas holidays with my folks in Manchester, and all the talk was of people snapping up city centre flats as "the BBC is moving here and we'll all be rich"; this Xmas the tone had changed, and those flats are just a fast track to losing money. And "posh areas" like the one's you mention are subject to the same economics - if the work (and money) is elsewhere, that's where the people will be. And that ain't South Manchester.
BTW: You might want to watch the couple from Prestbury on Location, Location a year or so ago - they were staggered by the huge leap in price their old house had undergone in just 3-4 years (more than doubled in price.) To claim that this is sustainable is mad. Because if it was, there wouldn't be so much property "sticking" in all of South Manchester's "posh belt" for the last year or more...
And if you still believe that these areas are immune, try propertysnake. And remember, the big falls of 2008-2010 have yet to kick in, reversing the madness of the last 10 years. Still, even now:
Prestbury:
£850,000 (DOWN 10% from £950,000) Heybridge Lane
£650,000 (DOWN 15% from £765,000) Yew Tree Lane
£725,000 (DOWN 9% from £799,950) Birtles Road
Wilmslow:
£1,600,000 (DOWN 8% from £1,750,000)
£249,950 (DOWN 15% from £294,950) Plot 12 Hawthorne House
£249,950 (DOWN 13% from £289,995) Holly Cottage
Hale:
£995,000 (DOWN 13% from £1,145,000) Warren Drive, Hale Barns
£1,065,000 (DOWN 9% from £1,175,000) Shay Lane
£2,100,000 (DOWN 7% from £2,275,000) Rappax Road, Hale
Oh, and look at the "days on market" for some of this stuff as well!
Like I said, I keep a very close eye on the South Manchester/Cheshire market, as that's where I will *eventually* buy. But for now, I'll stick to making cash in London and just buy once the market has crashed some more: another 5 years until we hit the bottom, IMHO.
Cheers,
Nomadd
EDIT: Typo.