Further to what I said previously, read this from GATA (sure a VI Gold Bull but it still does makes interesting reading). They believe that, allowing for demand and supply to stay constant, the remaining gold reserves held by official central banks in their vaults will practically disappear
between 4 to 7 years from now.
QUOTE
So whatever is happening in the gold market--- whatever is keeping the gold price down---if our numbers are correct, it can't go on that much longer, because we know not every central bank will lend or sell all it's gold. In fact, if our analysis is correct, the official sector knows what is coming. If the official sector is rational, it knows what will happen to the gold price when this large flow that is depressing the price abates and ultimately ends---the price will go up by a lot. Therefore, some rational central banks will not sell and lend down to the last ounce. Instead they will start to buy. So regardless of what has been happening in the gold market, if our data is correct, then, within a couple of years, whatever the official sector is doing, it will terminate and the gold price will rise.
Read the rest of it here