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Full Version: Shanghai 'stir-fry' Frenzy Could Be Recipe For Disaster
House Price Crash forum > Investment > Financial markets
Charlie The Tramp
QUOTE
Buddhist monks, pensioners, and housewives are flocking to take part in China's biggest stir-fry - local slang for the new national sport of speculating in the stock market.
Easy money? People queue to open accounts at a stock exchange in Suining south-western China
An investment frenzy triggered by China's economic growth and eccentricities in its unique communist-capitalist financial system have led to an explosion in share prices.
This week, the Shanghai stock exchange index hit the 4,000 mark - just three weeks after passing 3,000 and up more than three times from a low of 1,200 less than two years ago.
Frantic government warnings that it is a bubble waiting to burst have not scared off small investors.
"All the other chefs at my restaurant have put money in," said Yang Dachao, 32, a cook who has just "stir-fried" his £5,000 savings into an account at one of Beijing's high street securities shops. "I sat on the fence when the market hit 3,000. When it hit 4,000 I had to get in."


Well my Local Takeaway owner says he has invested thousands in the Shanghai SM. blink.gif

Shanghai 'stir-fry' frenzy could be recipe for disaster
needle
QUOTE(Charlie The Tramp @ May 12 2007, 11:53 PM) [snapback]635786[/snapback]
Well my Local Takeaway owner says he has invested thousands in the Shanghai SM. blink.gif

Shanghai 'stir-fry' frenzy could be recipe for disaster


Not a huge recipe for disaster - the Chinese economy relies mainly on exports not domestic consumption.
Some denigration of the huge domestic savings rate could occur but nothing huge.

A large fall could cause civil unrest but again, nothing the Peoples Army couldnt handle.

Secondly, if the currency simultaneously rises in value (as many want it to) then loses may be mitigated by increased PPP.

The real problem is oil - all the rest are just symptoms/ sideshows.
Charlie The Tramp
QUOTE(needle @ May 13 2007, 12:33 AM) [snapback]635823[/snapback]
all the rest are just symptoms/ sideshows.


Well the last time there was a sideshow the Global SMs went into shock.

A matter now of when Shanghai sneezes the rest catch cold. biggrin.gif
Goldfinger
QUOTE(needle @ May 13 2007, 12:33 AM) [snapback]635823[/snapback]
Not a huge recipe for disaster - the Chinese economy relies mainly on exports not domestic consumption.
Some denigration of the huge domestic savings rate could occur but nothing huge.

A large fall could cause civil unrest but again, nothing the Peoples Army couldnt handle.

Secondly, if the currency simultaneously rises in value (as many want it to) then loses may be mitigated by increased PPP.

The real problem is oil - all the rest are just symptoms/ sideshows.

If this goes tits up, the Chinese take their trillions and go shopping for food to keep the people calm.
Alongside with the bee massacre that's unravelling and the the whole corn/ethanol mania, that could
become a dangerous brew.
BuyingBear
People are going to end up with egg fried rice on their face.
oracle
QUOTE(needle @ May 13 2007, 12:33 AM) [snapback]635823[/snapback]
Not a huge recipe for disaster - the Chinese economy relies mainly on exports not domestic consumption.
Some denigration of the huge domestic savings rate could occur but nothing huge.

A large fall could cause civil unrest but again, nothing the Peoples Army couldnt handle.

Secondly, if the currency simultaneously rises in value (as many want it to) then loses may be mitigated by increased PPP.

The real problem is oil - all the rest are just symptoms/ sideshows.


With all due respect,the dependency on export IS the problem!!

the yuan is artificially weak..yes giving exporters an advantage,but preventing the cheap goods being bought by the chinese themselves.

flip this around,and it reads...too much dependence on the US consumer.
china need to strengthen the currency....exactly what the US have wanted them to do.
the longer it's put off,the bigger the knee-jerk will be.
tinecu
'Beware the yellow peril'

Shanghi crash 2008? leads global meltdown. IRs 20% Then WWar if the past is any indicator...
domo
man there going frikkin crazy, 500k accounts opening A DAY, history shows the aftermath of manias like this are never pretty.
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