SPIN REPORTED AS NEWS...
Is getting rather common, particularly in articles about the Property Market.
I believe that it is important to NAME AND SHAME, the writers and the media organs that indulge in this practice. And if you see a particularly outrageous example, it is part of one's duty as an intelligent reader to pen (or email) a letter to the offending writer and/or the publication, and let them know what you think.
Please JOIN ME in this campaign:
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The First selection:
Open Letter to Mr. Norwood, the writer
QUOTE
WE are watching you, Mr. Graham Norwood.
We have just read: http://www.timesonline.co.uk/newspaper/0,,...1739333,00.html
To call a bottom now, based on the spin from a few Estate Agents is very reckless. The London property market peaked in 2004, when most EA's said it was going higher. At worst, they said, we would see a brief "soft landing". They were wrong then, and they will be wrong now.
By most sensible measures, property prices are still wildly over valued. And public sentiment, the "crowd", is only beginning to wise up and see that they have been induced by EA hype and media spin to overpay. The most vulnerable are the neophyte BTL investors who bought offplan, paying way over the odds for new flats they planned to flip or rent at levels that are now plainly unachievable. They paid prices which meant that they were locking in yields below 5%, or even below 4% after expenses. And now they facing cash drains as far as the eye can see.
Repossessions are soaring, and prices are sliding. Buying will not make sense for the average person until prices are truly affordable, and that will be when it is cheaper to buy than to rent. In calculating, you must consider the returns one forgoes on a equity deposit. So an appropriate comparison might be the monthly cost of renting, compared with a theoretical 100%-financed, interest-only mortgage. On this basis, there is no repayment of principal, and there is no "sudsidy" from the deposit. I add on, to the owning side of the ledger, the extra expenses (replacing carpets, appliances, and so forth), which are borne by the landlord, and not a rent-paying tenant. With this fair comparison, as a tenant, I am paying about 40% less to rent, than I would pay as an owner of the house that I live in.
Maybe you should be listening to those that got it right. I mean those who Sold-to-Rent a year or two ago. They are now renting cheaply, with their money invested outside property, earning a safe return while London house prices are falling. Is it possible that these brave folks, who went against crowd wisdom and sold in a overheated market, might just understand the market better than those whose salaries are paid by Estate Agents? Those with vested interests, seem to come up with very predictable forecasts. After a price fall, which they failed to predict, they will always tell you that it is now time to buy again.
The STRers that I mentioned are prepared to buy again. But that will likely be after a much bigger fall, when the costs of owning will once again be the same or lower than renting.
Don't throw away your credibility as a journalist by quoting Estate agents. If you want to know what others think of your article, please follow this link:
http://www.housepricecrash.co.uk/forum/ind...ST&f=22&t=14181
Dr.Bubb
UNQUOTE
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Similar thread on Main board: http://www.housepricecrash.co.uk/forum/ind...showtopic=14181
(Spawned this email)
Letter sent to: Graham@GrahamNorwood.info
Copied to.....: Letters@Sunday-Times.co.uk
